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  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
           面对“新常态”经济发展要求,探寻中国经济增长动力源是值得关注的焦点。本文在梳理经济增长动力问题基础上,提炼出支撑中国经济增长的九个因素,并通过牛顿第二定律解释了影响中国经济增长的动力问题,且基于灰色关联度模型,对影响经济增长的强弱程度进行剖析,寻找支撑中国经济增长的动力源。最终得出两个结论:第一,1998~2012年,推动中国经济增长的主要动力来自于投资、消费和技术投入环节,其次为金融、劳动投入、城镇化改革,而净出口、FDI和经济结构三个环节影响偏弱;第二,引入牛顿第二定律,并通过灰色关联度分析,可以解释经济现象中的动力问题,找出经济发展根本动力,在方法及实践上是可行的。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    The historical experience shows that economic cycle is usually accompanied by structural transformation in the process of economic development, economic cycle and structural transformation have close connection. This article systematically summarizes the inherent relationship between the economic cycle and the structural transformation firstly, and then uses the existing structural transformation model, under the circumstance of economic cycle, to estimate the income effect, the technology progress effect and the capital deepening effect in the progress of China’s structural transformation from 1978 to 2013. The results show that there are some differences in the dynamics of the structural transformation at the different stages of the economic cycle. These conclusions indicate that cyclical factors should be considered when making the policies of structural transformation. Finally, some policies on how to effectively promote the structural transformation in our country have been proposed.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    In this paper, from the perspective of structuring, we combine Marx's expanded reproduction equilibrium theory and the double meaning of social necessary labor time, through a simple two category production and consumption framework to explain structural imbalances in the problems of the current domestic two major categories. The study found that two major categories structural imbalance is mainly due to the expanding reproduction process of production factor allocation long-term distortions, configuration elements unbalanced leads to the differentiation of two major categories of labor productivity, and two large categories of non coordinated development finally caused the structure mismatch of market supply and demand.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This Paper constructs simultaneous equation models including economic growth equation, energy consumption equation and CO2 emission equation to examine the interrelationships between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emission using system GMM method with global panel data of 61 countries over the period 1990-2011. We also investigate this interrelationship for three sub-panels which are constructed based on the income level of countries; namely, high income, middle income and low income countries. Our empirical results show that there are bidirectional causal relationship between economic growth and energy consumption, energy consumption and CO2 emission and unidirectional causality from economic growth to CO2 emission for global panel, high income and low income countries. However, bidirectional causal relationships exist between any two of economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 for middle income countries. The study suggests that there is still ‘Economic growth→Energy consumption→CO2 emissions’ chain for the globe, thus, measures of energy conservation and emission reduction will continue to affect the global economy. Particularly for middle-income countries, they need to find a balance point among economic growth and emission reduction target, and one-sided determination of carbon dioxide emission reduction targets will significantly influence their economic development.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    Since the reform and opening up, the city between the Yangtze river delta urban agglomeration under the background of industrial structure of the cities in Yangtze river delta urban agglomeration has been gradually evolved.This paper first examines the Yangtze river delta urban agglomeration and analyses the space-time evolution of industrial structure evolution of the dynamic mechanism;Then by utilizing the method of spatial deviation - share model research shows that most of the Yangtze river delta urban agglomeration city industrial structure reasonable, has the effect of industrial structure;Most cities have formed space competitiveness net effect;Most of the city has already formed the spatial location effect.Therefore, Yangtze river delta urban agglomeration should further promote the city of deepening, in order to promote the free flow of factors of urban agglomeration internal according to the development of industrial division of factor endowments, achieve win-win.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    The automobile as second-largest carbon emission industry pressures for upgrading due to energy consumption and environment pollution. New energy vehicles have advantages in energy conservation and emission reduction have become the direction of the structural adjustment and new growth point in automotive industry. And the government subsidies have been playing an important role in promoting the development of new energy vehicles accomplish industrialization. Given this, we analyze the process of whether consumers chose buying new energy vehicles or not and whether government chose offering subsidies the consumers who buy new energy vehicles through building evolutionary game model between consumers and government. The results showed that there exist two local stability strategies under special conditions. Finally, we analyze the key factors which impact the stability of dynamic system and propose some related policy and measurement to push the strategy of evolutionary game converges to optimal goal for best maximize social welfare. Including the government should guide enterprises invent in new energy and in its infrastructure by financial subsidies, insist on the subsidies fall back mechanism, increasing subsidies range to the consumers who buying new energy vehicles in the short run, but from the long term, the financial subsidies should cancel and insist on market guidance and innovation motivate, in other word, survival of the fittest, then promote consumers’ cognition and preference on new energy vehicles though advertisement.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This paper analyzes the effect of the adjustment of regional and national industrial structure on mechanism of monetary transmission comparatively by Panel VAR with the panel data from 1978 to 2014. The results show that the effect of the adjustment of national industrial structure on transmission mechanism of monetary policy is significant. Loans have an enduring effect on Moore index from gong up to going down. The adjustment of industrial structure has long and big effect on growth rate of CPI and GDP. From the regional perspective, the effect of the adjustment of regional industrial structure on mechanism of monetary transmission is different. For the eastern part, adjustment of industrial structure is the most sensitive to the loans. And for the central part, adjustment of industrial structure has the most positive impact on the growth rate of CPI, but negative impact on the growth rate of GDP. For the western part, adjustment of industrial structure has little impact on growth rate of CPI, but greatly positive impact on the growth rate of GDP.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    By the application of new economic geography theory framework this paper extends the urban economic growth model, analyzes the agglomeration effect and crowded effectiveness influence on urban scale. By introducing public services and housing prices factors into crowded function, then introducing crowded function into the growth function, building the theoretical model of steady state evolution path analysis. The model shows that urban size will eventually converge to appropriate size, and proper size is dynamic, going with city savings rate, depreciation rate, housing prices, and basic public service level, beyond that the administrative level also affects the appropriate scale of the city. By taking advantage of China's 35 cities in 2003-2012 panel data to take empirical analysis and using System-GMM, the result is in accordance with the basic theoretical model that house prices and basic public services have significant influence on urban scale.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    New growth theory and new economic geography emerged from 1990s use technological innovation, increasing returns, transport cost and their interaction to explain developmental disparity between regions in the framework of imperfect competition. We conduct an empirical study of returns to scale of economic activities in manufacturing and tertiary industries at urban and regional level with data of 270 cities in China in 2014 based on the assumption of variable returns to scale. It is found that: (1) output elasticity with respect to labor is positively related to urban capacity in technological innovation; (2) output elasticity with respect to capital is positively related to population density and negatively related to transport cost; (3) among 270 cities, there are 267 cities characterized by increasing returns to scale with scale elasticity above 1; and (4) returns to scale of urban manufacturing and tertiary industry de-escalate in the order of East China, Central China, Northeast China and West China, which offers support to Yang Kaizhong’s argument of West China’s Diseconomy in Spatial Framework in explaining cross-region disparity in development in China.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    It is the inherent requirement of enhancing the overall development and improving the coordination of development to reduce the rural-urban income gap by urbanization and industrialization. This paper analyzes the theoretic relationship among urbanization, industrialization and rural-urban income gap, constructs the index of harmonious development and the panel data model, and then evaluates the coupling relationship and its influence factors based on statistical data from 2000 to 2013. It finds that the value of coordinated development index has increased greatly during the period, among which the eastern region is significantly better than the central and western regions. However, the income gap between urban and rural areas is not necessarily reduced by urbanization and industrialization. Theoretically, the reduction of rural-urban income gap relies on the equalization of marginal return difference during the process of urbanization and industrialization. As there are many rural migrants without urban citizenship, the less possibility of peasants with worse livelihood settled in urban area, the concentration of rural migrants employed to the traditional industry with low scale and high labor intensive, and the restriction of agricultural structural adjustment especially in major grain-producing area, this theoretical mechanism loses its potency. Taking these factors into consideration, it will be meaningful to promote the citizenization of rural migrants, the integration development of rural industries, and the much higher financial transfer payment towards agricultural and rural areas. With these and other industrial measures, the income gap between urban and rural areas will be reduced, and positive interaction among urbanization, industrialization and rural-urban income gap will be realized.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    新常态下,长江经济带的金融集聚对经济增长具有重要意义。本文通过对长江经济带39个城市2004—2013年的面板数据进行分析,并用空间计量分析方法对金融数据进行测度。在此基础上,通过建立空间滞后模型、空间误差模型和空间杜宾模型,检验了金融集聚对经济增长的空间溢出效应。研究表明:(1)长江经济带存在金融集聚现象;(2)银行业和保险业是促进经济增长的重要因素; (3) 证券业的经济杠杆作用尚未充分发挥,对经济增长的影响并不显著。最后,本文提出相关政策建议。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    近些年来,能源回弹效应已成为能源经济学研究的热点问题。然而,既有研究仅从局部均衡视角关注行业或部门层面的能源效率与回弹效应,缺乏一般均衡视角的整体分析。本文通过构建两部门一般均衡模型对能源回弹效应进行了重新研究,发现宏观经济层面的短期和长期能源回弹效应具有差异:短期会出现逆反效应,长期回弹效应的类型取决于非能源产品和能源生产过程中能源效率弹性与劳动效率弹性之比。本文克服了传统局部均衡分析方法的局限性,为我国经济社会的可持续发展和能源节约提供新的理论依据,为政策制定者制定能源政策提供新的发展思路。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This paper uses the operation mechanism of overcapacity that influences price distortion and economic fluctuations, and uses provincial data from 1999~2012 to do an empirical test. The results show that: the distortion of prices in excess capacity and economic fluctuations has a mediating effect on the path; both the price distortion and overcapacity are positively related with economic fluctuations; the price distortion degree is positively related with abnormal economic fluctuations; inflation and financial development are significantly positively correlated with economic fluctuations, total factor productivity and FDI are negatively correlated with economic fluctuations. And gives policy recommendations as follows: promote the supply side structural reform; form true and price sensitive signaling mechanism; resolve the overcapacity; promote the reform of factor markets, restrain inflation and financial development, increase the proportion of total factor productivity and FDI, promote the healthy development of economy.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This paper constructs a theoretical model of fiscal sustainability based on the government’ intertemporal budget constraints, examines the fiscal sustainability with a time-varying cointegration model, and analyses the causal relationship between government revenues and expenditures using a nonlinear Granger causality test over the period of 1952-2015 in China. Empirical results suggest that the fiscal stance is sustainable, but the cointegration relationship between government revenue and expenditure is time-varying in different periods. In the periods of Asia financial crises in 1997, the cointegration coefficient between government revenue and expenditure fluctuates acutely; and in the periods of subprime crises and “new normal” for China economy, the cointegration coefficient between government revenue and expenditure is relatively stable. Therefore, in the period of “new normal”, the further expansion of fiscal deficit ratio won’t affect the fiscal sustainability. The fiscal adjustment is accordance with the “fiscal synchronization hypothesis”, and there is two-way relationship between government revenues and expenditures. In the long term, in order to ensure the sustainability of fiscal policy, the government needs to adjust the fiscal policy from positive to prudent according to the development of economic situation, and take action both on government revenue and expenditure to promote the fiscal stance adjust from unbalance to balance.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    The running of the macroeconomic relates to the overall situation of the country’s stability and development, it has significant impact on a country. Investment, export and consumption, as “three carriages” that stimulate economic growth, their trends and fluctuations have great impact on the running of the economics. For the growth rate of GDP is measured by quarter, but the growth rates of investment, export and consumption are measured by month, so we use the Mixed Data Sampling regression models to analyze China's macro economy and make short-term forecasts combine with the fact that China’s economy has great lolatility. Research results show that MIDAS models have certain advantages in the accuracy of short-term forecasts of China's macro economy; Declining growth rates of investment and export are the main causes of China’s macro economy downturn. So we need to reflect traditional “three carriages” thought and advance supply side reform in order to keep China’s macro economy’s sound and fast development.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    National Strategy for New-type Urbanization plans to coordinates all specified urban clusters in the form of network, through which the full-scale national urbanization can be achieved by connecting those dots. However, the fast growing rate of urbanization also brings about many problems along with its achievements, including all sorts of imbalance and disorders, such as population transfer and land expansion mismatch, industry development and labor migration are not synchronized, the developments of big cities and small towns are not coordinated etc.. Previous studies to these issues have focused on the internal process of urbanization in terms of space, population and industrialization. This paper provides another way of thinking in which economic growth, financial development, and urbanization are interlocked with each other. None of them can be developed in a health fashion without smooth coordination with the other two. Therefore, if some problems occurred in any aspect of them, one should not only look inside, he must look outside to find the truth, i.e. the coordination among this aspect and other elements. Therefore, the latter part of study initially quantifies the correlation among economic growth, financial development and urbanization, using the method of loose coupling. Then, it individually calculates the spatial correlation of those coupling results by Moran Index, which generates negative results. It proves that the coordination of three systems in one single city cluster would be negatively affected by the change of neighbor urban group’s coordination degree. This conclusion is practically explained in the last texts..
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This article uses Chinese provincial panel data in 2000-2013 with the set of three kinds of spatial weight matrix and the spatial regression model partial derivatives method proposed by Lesage and Pace (2009) to empirically study space spillover effect of Chinese informational development on regional economic growth. The results show firstly China's provincial economic growth exists significant positive spatial correlation. Secondly, regional economic activities are under the influence of other regions that have similar spatial features. Thirdly, informationization has positive intra-regional spillover effect on economic growth under three kinds of spatial weight matrix and the range of spillover effect is between 0.18 and 0.25, but inter-regional spillover effect is not significant. Moreover, investment in fixed assets directly promotes economic growth but the effect of which is less than that level of informationization. And human resource does not play its due role in furthering regional economic growth while its potential should be unleashed to step further. Finally, the positive indirect effects of government expenditure balance the negative direct effects and therefore, its overall effect is positive.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    According to the World 2001-2011 data input-output table, we studyed the GVC of China's manufacturing industry ,and then reviews the effect of participation in GVC between skilled and unskilled labor .The study found that ,the higher participation of global value chain, the closer to downstream position in Global Value Chain cause larger wage gap; The subsample regression further show that the global value chain division with developing countries have highier positive effect on relative demand for skilled labor in our country than in developed countries; participation of global value chain of various industry promoting the relative demand for skilled labor but the international division of labor status index of high-tech industry, is insignificant in promoting relative demand for skilled labor.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    In the regional economic perspective, this paper follows the model of Eaton and Kortum (2002) and uses the import and export of the country's gross domestic product (GDP), absolute advantage , comparative advantage and distance, building an equation similar to the gravity model. Studies have shown that the distance between trading countries, sharing boundary, regional trade agreements PTA affected bilateral trade flows. Prices, wages and technology is the main factor affecting the relative competitiveness and trade openness. A country can promote development potential by actively participating in regional trade agreements and raising the level of technology.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This article tries to build financial security monitoring framework based on network public opinion which include the selection of sources of information, expert selection, text opinion extraction and synthesis index. We verify the feasibility of this framework through mining advices of a few financial experts. In addition, we also construct traditional financial security index which is compared with expert opinion index as the objective measure. Results show that the sensitivity of expert opinion index is better. This framework provides a new reference for financial crisis early warning.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    The economy of the world is more and more complicated in this Post-Crisis Era, that effects to developing Countries along with the economic globalization, so that they suffer a lot and currency substitutions could be happend in these Countries. China is in a critical period of financial reform, which can make our financial system more perfect, more effective and healthier. But it also may result currency substitution and revert currency substitution because of the timing of the reform, the policy discontinuity and so on. And that will bring us currency crisis. But there are few people looking into the generalized currency substitution and the relationship between currency substitution and currency crisis which are more important in developing Countries. It studied all four kinds of classical theories of currency substitution in this paper, and then, a new currency substitution model is put forward base on multiple intentions to discribe the process of Currency Substitutions.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    Economic convergence hypothesis provides a time trend descriptions that developing countries narrow the gap with developed countries as well as countries to narrow the gap between regions. Research in this field has become a hot focus of economists and development economics research. The research work in economic growth and economic convergence will be reviewed systematically in this article . This article sorts out comprehensively and systematically on economic convergence’s meaning definition, theoretical foundation and empirical method, and then pay mach more attention to the research on the relationships between economic growth and the economic convergence, and alao the economic convergence’s features in China's economic five progressive growth stages. We believe that economic convergence has become a major issue of economic growth theory. It focuses on economic growth speed differences and its reasons, and also the differences in economic convergence motives because of the different data collection and research methods. This paper argues that future research attempts full considerations in country and area sample heterogeneity based on traditional model and discuss the influences when consider structural change factors such as financial structure as the economic convergence factors.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    This paper discusses the ambiguity and problems with the term of middle-income trap and then shows that the middle-income trap complex manifests, in fact, the lack of confidence in China’s reforms in economic structure and systems. To demonstrate the prospect of China’s development, this paper establishes both the aggregate production function from the supply side and the aggregate demand model from the demand side to examine the major factors that have affected China’s economic growth in the past 30 years. Based on such analysis, the paper forecasts the growth potentials for the next 10 to 15 years. Our results indicate that reforms on the economic systems and the growth pattern have made our economic structures more mature and reasonable and ensured the development more stable; and that according to the generally accepted criteria, China is going to become a rich nation in 8 to 15 years.
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    资本账户开放降低了国内利率水平并使国内居民获得国际融资渠道,引起需求过度扩张、工资和产品价格上涨、实际汇率升值、实际利率下降、经常账户逆差扩大、对外净资产下降等一系列变化。当实际汇率升值和对外净资产下降使实际资产规模下降到一定程度时,需求开始收缩,引起工资和产品价格下降、实际汇率贬值等一系列变化,直至经济重新实现内外部均衡为止。经验研究表明,美国经济金融形势和货币政策对各国经济扩张与收缩有巨大影响;资本账户开放既加剧了经济在扩张与收缩过程中的失衡程度,又显著增大了各国经济运行的联动性;国际资本流动结构对经济增长速度和稳定性有重要影响。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    随着劳动收入份额在世界范围的降低,以及对“Kaldor事实” 的质疑,大量文献开始关注引起要素收入份额变动的原因,而技术进步方向为探究要素收入份额变动的诱发因素提供新的研究思路。本文首先利用基于收入法构成的统计数据考察改革开放以来我国要素收入份额的变动趋势,再构建技术进步偏向性指数分析其对要素收入份额的作用机制,最后基于结构分解方法考察技术进步方向是如何引起要素收入份额变动的。结果表明:尽管劳动收入总量有所增加,但我国劳动收入份额的演变趋势仍是下降的;而技术进步则表现出在整体上偏向于资本要素,同时随着替代弹性值的增加,技术进步偏向性对资本与劳动要素相对收入份额的正向作用越大,说明劳动收入份额下降是受技术进步资本偏向性特征影响的。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    理论分析表明城镇化与环境污染应该呈现倒U型曲线。在分析城镇化影响环境污染内在传导机制的基础上,利用我国30个省份2002—2013年的数据作为研究样本,采用动态面板模型,实证考察了省级层面城镇化与环境污染的关系。实证结果表明:现阶段城镇化与环境污染之间的倒U型关系并不明显,而是呈现明显的正向效应。在影响因素中,工业占比和能源使用效率对城镇化对污染排放的正向作用分别起到了增强和削弱的传导效应,消费水平提升显著增加了环境污染水平,环境治理投入未发挥理想的治污效果,开放程度对环境污染的影响并不明显。实现城镇化过程中需要推进环境保护的供给侧改革,优化产业结构升级,提升能源使用效率、清洁技术水平和科学规划城市布局等。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    利用ELES模型和动态空间杜宾模型,对我国31个省份2003-2014年城镇居民消费升级的基本特征、影响因素及其空间溢出效应进行了定量分析。结果表明:1、城镇居民消费升级具有需求多样性、层次递进性和动态非平衡性的特征;2、城镇居民可支配收入和非工资收入占比的增长有利于推动消费结构升级,而个人社保缴费负担、不确定性和消费价格均对消费升级形成抑制,财政社会保障支出对消费升级的影响作用不显著;3、本地区城镇居民收入条件的改善不仅有利于该地消费扩张和结构升级,且会对路径区域居民消费升级产生正向溢出,而社会保障因素、不确定性因素和价格因素均对城镇居民消费升级形成负向溢出。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    当前,加快推进新型城镇化建设已成为西部地区经济转型跨越式发展的当务之急。在新型城镇化建设进程中,金融“输血”功能尤为关键。基于构建的新型城镇化综合测度体系,选取2006~2014年西部11省区相关数据,运用时序全局主成分分析对新型城镇化发展水平进行综合测度;然后运用面板数据模型,实证分析金融对西部各省支持力度。实证结果显示,西部各省新型城镇化发展水平普遍较低,金融对新型城镇化建设支持力度不足。最后根据实证结果,金融体系应从规模、效率和结构三方面,对新型城镇化建设的三大重点领域(城镇基础设施建设、农业产业化和农民“市民化”)予以全力支持。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    本文基于2006-2014年中国与18个国家的反倾销壁垒数据,利用随机效应模型,实证检验了国家形象、民主化制度对贸易摩擦的影响。经过检验得出以下结论:东道国对于中国的国家形象越正面(负面),则对中国发起的反倾销壁垒数量越少(多);东道国民主化程度越高,针对中的反倾销壁垒数量越多;双边民主化差距越大,反倾销数量越多;引入交互项,进一步检验了民主制度与国家形象的相互作用,民主化程度越高,越利于国家形象对贸易政策制定的影响。
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
    研究货币政策向制造业传导具有一定探索性。构建SVAR模型并实证后发现:(1) 制造业价格水平、不良贷款状况及资产价格水平等因素会影响商业银行对制造业的信贷配置,从而影响货币政策对制造业的传导效果;(2)近年来,由于制造业中通货紧缩现象严重、不良贷款率持续攀高等原因,制造业中存在“债务-通货紧缩”陷阱和“不良贷款-信贷紧缩”陷阱;(3)我国资产价格膨胀吸引信贷资金从制造业流向股市或楼市,导致扩张性货币政策向制造业传导梗阻。政策建议是,强化货币政策与监管、产业政策间协同,运用结构型货币政策工具和差异化信贷工具对制造业实施精准调控。货币政策传导;制造业;信贷渠道;SVAR
  • Inquiry Into Economic Issues.
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    本文首先使用信息准则、LR检验及残差Q检验选择能够拟合中国真实GDP季度增长的最优MS-UC模型,检验结果表明三永久机制转换的MS-UC模型拟合最优,从而说明结构变化导致了中国经济周期波动及经济增长的非对称性。从模型估计的结果来看,中国经济周期波动可以划分为与供需管理经济政策相关的三个阶段:1992年第2季度-2007第2季度的高速增长期、2007第3季度-2011第3季度的增长换挡期以及2011第4季度至今的经济新常态时期。将MS-UC模型简化为ARIMA模型后,利用各阶段隐含脉冲响应函数分析经济增长持续性的非对称性特征可知:在供给管理为主的阶段,政策冲击具有显著的长期增长效应;而在需求管理为主的阶段,政策冲击以短期增长效应为主。
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    对全国农业发展差异进行综合评价并划分区域,可为制定区域农业政策和提高全国农业现代化水平提供帮助。由农业发展阶段和经济增长理论出发,在构建2个一级指标和21个二级指标的农业发展评价指标体系基础上,运用多元统计方法从农业发展阶段和驱动因素分析全国农业发展情况。从农业现代化水平出发,31个省份经过系统聚类划分为4类农业发展阶段,总体全国农业现代化水平不高;从发展驱动因素出发,利用因子分析和判别分析法确定省份农业发展类型,即要素型、技术型、政府-要素型和政府-技术型,其中技术进步已成为推动农业发展的重要驱动力。最后,综合考虑农业发展阶段和驱动因素后产生11种农业发展区域,并结合要素、技术、政府等因素作用对各区域提出农业政策选择建议。
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